Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Romney's Taxes

Romney's release of 2011 taxes and an accountants' statement don't do him many favors.  They do show that he paid taxes in all previous years, contrary to Sen. Reid's claim.  Otherwise, he does not do much to support America.  He paid very low taxes.  Andrea Mitchell noted that the summary of 20 years of prior taxes look higher because the tax rates were higher in previous years.  I was surprised to find the best listing of prior year tax rates in Forbes

For much of that 20 year period the top tax rate for salaried income was over 40% and the maximum capital gains tax rate was over 20%.  For 2011 the rates were 37% and 15%.  The table shows how much taxes on rich taxpayers have gone down.  When you look at Federal payroll taxes (for Social Security and Medicare) and state income taxes, sales taxes, and property taxes, the formerly "progressive" tax rates where rich pay higher taxes than the poor, have become "regressive" taxes that fall more heavily on the poor.  Romney's claim that 47% of potential taxpayers pay no taxes, ignores all taxes except federal income taxes. 

If Romney were a loyal, patriotic American earning as much as he does, he should pay something on the order of 30% of his income in federal taxes, not less than 15%. 

Romney and other Republican tax bashers say capital gains taxes have to be low, because they experience double taxation.  Their companies pay tax, and they get their investment income only after the companies are taxed.  But if the companies paid no taxes, workers salaries could be higher, too.  Why don't salaried workers get a double taxation break?  In addition, capital gains taxes are paid only after an asset is sold.  Therefore, many wealthy individuals have the earnings tax free for years. 

For example, if you buy some stock for $100, and it goes up $50 the first year.  You have made $50, but you pay no tax on it, because you don't sell it.  The next year, if the stock goes up another 50%, you make $75, but you pay no tax on that $75, plus you have made money on ALL of the profit you made the first year, because that profit was not taxed.  A salaried worker pays taxes on all of his income in the year he makes it; there is no benefit from compound interest, i.e., interest on the prior years' interest.  On the other hand, a rich person can hold a profitable asset for many years without paying any taxes on it, earning profit on the earlier profit that was not taxed.  Then when he sells it, he pays much lower taxes than someone who works for a living.  Basically the government gives him an interest free loan of the taxes due each year until he sells the asset.  Who's the "welfare queen" in this picture? 

It doesn't seem fair to me.  It's a good deal, but it's not fair. 



Year Top Regular Rates Max. Capital Gains Rate Capital Gains Taxation Notes
Wages & Other Earned Income Unearned Income Except Cap Gains Above Joint Taxable Income of
1916 15% 15% $2,000,000 15% Realized gains taxed same as other income
1917 67% 67% $2,000,000 67%
1918 77% 77% $1,000,000 77%
1919-21 73% 73% $1,000,000 73%
1922 58% 58% $200,000 12.50% Maximum rate
1923 43.50% 43.50% $200,000 12.50%
1924 46% 46% $500,000 12.50%
1925-28 25% 25% $100,000 12.50%
1929 24% 24% $100,000 12.50%
1930-31 25% 25% $100,000 12.50%
1932-33 63% 63% $1,000,000 12.50%
1934-35 63% 63% $1,000,000 31.50% Sliding exclusion of 70%>10yrs 0% <1 small="small" yr.="yr.">
1936-37 78% 78% $2,000,000 39%
1938-40 78% 78% $2,000,000 30% Excl. 50%>2yrs; 67% 18-24mo; 0%<18mo 30="30" ax="ax" small="small">
1941 80% 80% $2,000,000 30%
1942-43 88% 88% $200,000 25% Exclusion 50% > 6 months; 25% maximum




1944-45 94% 94% $200,000 25%
1946-47 86.50% 86.50% $200,000 25%
1948-49 82.10% 82.10% $200,000 25%
1950 84.40% 84.40% $200,000 25%
51-64 91% 91% $200,000 25%
64-67 70% 70% $200,000 25%
1968 75.30% 75.30% $200,000 26.90% Transition
1969 77% 77% $200,000 27.50%
1970 50% 70% $200,000 32.30%
1971 50% 70% $200,000 34.30%
1972-75 50% 70% $200,000 36.50% 50% exclusion - minimum tax effects
1976-77 50% 70% $203,200 39.90%
1978 50% 70% $203,200 39%
1979-80 50% 70% $215,400 28% 60% exclusion
1981 50% 70% $215,400 23.70% 50% or 60% exclusion
1982-86 50% 50% $215,400 20% 60% exclusion
1987 38.50% 38.50% $192,930 28% Maximum rate
1988-90* 28%/33% 28%/33% * 28%/33% Realized gains taxed same as other income
1991-92 31.90% 31.90% $82,150 28.90% Maximum rate
1993-96 43.70% 40.80% $250,000 29.20%
1997-2000 43.70% 40.80% $275,000 21.20%
2001 43.20% 40.30% $297,350 21.20%
2002 42.70% 39.80% $307,050 21.20% 18% top capital gains rate in rare cases
2003-05 39.00% 36.10% $311,950 16.10% Reduced maximum rate which also applied to dividends
2006-07 38.60% 35.70% $336,550 15.70%
2008-09 38.30% 35.40% $357,700 15.40%
2010-12 37.90% 35.00% $373,650 15%
2013-on 44.60% 44.60% $396,100 25% 21.2% income tax plus 3.8% Medicare tax; also on dividends

Thursday, September 20, 2012

Concern about Military is about Contractors

With the approach to the "fiscal cliff," there is a lot of talk about the desire to avoid cutting the Defense budget.  On its face, this appears to be concern about the fighting men and women in Afghanistan and other dangerous places, but it's really concern about defense contractors.  I don't think the Republicans really care about the people serving in the military.  Very few Republicans (or Democrats) in the House or Senate served in the military.  But they do care about their contributions from defense contractors, and about jobs in plants in their home districts.  Because of their concern about their home districts, the government had to change the whole procedure it uses to close military bases, because if handled the normal way, no base would ever be closed.  It's almost the same thing with defense contractors; every congressman wants to funnel money home to his defense contractor.  Hence, the frequent congressional mandates to build weapons systems that the Pentagon doesn't want. 

So, I am not too concerned about all the furor about saving the Defense Department budget; it's really about saving elections for incumbent congressmen and senators.  The bottom line on jobs is serious, but why should we be more concerned about keeping jobs at defense plants than anywhere else?  We need more jobs in computer companies, too, in airlines, everywhere.  Why should defense contractors get special consideration?  Because they give lots of money to the reelection campaigns of people in Congress.  It's all about the money, not about patriotism. 

Sleaze on Wall Street

I was struck reading Michael Lewis' book Boomerang about how sleazy Wall Street salesmen are.  Basically they are worse than used car salesmen, but are selling stuff worth billions.  Lewis says one of the main problems the Germans ran into during the 2008 economic crisis was that they believed the salesmen.  He says reports a conversation with Dirk Rothig, a German banker, talking about the German Landesbanks:
"The people in these banks were never spoiled by any Wall Street salesmen.  Now there is someone with a platinum American Express credit card who can take them to the Grand Prix in Monaco....  He has no limit....  All of a sudden a very smart guy from Merrill Lynch shows up and starts to pay a lot of attention to you.  They thought, 'Oh he just like me!'"
At bottom, he [Rothig]  says, the Germans were blind to the possibility that the Americans were playing the game by something other than official rules.  The Germans took the rules at their face value; they looked into the history of triple-A-rated bonds and accepted the official story that triple-A-rated bonds were completely risk-free. 
It's a shame that America has become such a corrupt country, while the Germans seemed to have maintained their moral standards.  Perhaps their terrible failings during World War II have made them more moral today, while our relatively easy course through WW II made us less concerned about our morals.  In particular Wall Street appears to have become a snake pit that has attracted some of the lowest types of humanity. 
 

The Rewards of Military Service

I've decided there are relatively few rewards for military service beyond those of any other job.  If the pay is good and you are not getting shot, then it's as good as any other government job.  But any idea of patriotism or idealism is out the window.  There is a lot of talk about the importance of those serving in the military, but I don't think most Americans believe it, or even if they claim to believe it, they don't act on it.  Companies tout giving jobs to veterans, but it's not because they really care about veterans; it's because it's good publicity for the company. 

If there is any psychic benefit to military service, it is only for the person who serves.  He or she can be personally proud of serving and protecting the nation but don't expect anybody else to share in that feeling.  With the rise in income inequality in the US, soldiers are not protecting their own homes and families so much as they are being paid to protect the enormous wealth of the few at the top of the pyramid.  Neither Romney, nor any of his five sons served in the military, but they are willing to pay some poor, dumb redneck to go shoot some Afghans for them. 

Things have changed for the better.  Veterans returning from Vietnam, like me, were reviled as psychotic baby killers.  After 9/11 there was a genuine increase in patriotism and a desire to protect the US from another, similar assault.  The diversion into the war in Iraq, which had nothing to do with 9/11 tended to waste that feeling and discredit the service of those who volunteered after 9/11.  The military is still more respected than it was after Vietnam, but the spirit of 9/11 is mostly dead.