The new
issue of Foreign Affairs magazine asks, "Is democracy
dying?" Editor Gideon
Rose's introduction says,"As a Latin American friend put it ruefully,
'We’ve seen this movie before, just never in English.'” What Rose fails to note is that English is
less and less the language of political discourse in the United States, as
Spanish displaces English throughout the country. America is becoming a Latin American country
(where authoritarian government is more common), rather than a Western European
country founded by British colonists who rebelled against the authoritarianism
of the British king.
Analyzing
whether the US is becoming more authoritarian is a legitimate topic, but it is
clearly aimed at being critical of President Trump. I haven't read all the articles, but I guess
it is going to have a strong anti-Trump bias, perhaps deserved, perhaps
not. One of Trump's main issues has been
immigration, but surprisingly much of the Mexican immigration is due to
Republican President Reagan. However,
much of the recent immigration has been due to Democratic appeals to Latinos,
such as DACA, more lenient enforcement of immigrtation laws, etc.
The
bipartisan Latinization of the United States didn't really begin until the
middle of the 20th century. The most
important impetus was Ronald
Reagan's grant of amnesty to illegal aliens in 1986 to deal with a vastly
increased immigration flow that had begun about 20 years earlier. This law triggered a subsequent more massive
influx of aliens hoping to benefit from the next amnesty.
The
following graph
from the Migration Policy Institute show the dramatic increase in Mexican
immigrants following Reagan's 1986 amnesty.
In 2016, Mexicans accounted for approximately 26 percent of immigrants in the United States, making them by far the largest foreign-born group in the country…. The predominance of Latin American and Asian immigration in the late 20th and early 21st centuries starkly contrasts with the trend in the mid-1900s, when immigrants were largely European. In the 1960s no single country accounted for more than 15 percent of the total immigrant population.
It's not
clear how these statistics differentiate between legal and illegal
immigrants. There are a number of legal
Mexican immigrants, and the number of illegals is difficult to measure because
most of them are in hiding of some kind.
So, estimates of illegals are untrustworthy, but from looking through
some internet data, it looks to me like there are more or less equal numbers of
legal and illegal Mexican immigrants.
I believe
that the Foreign Affairs thesis about the death of democracy is largely the
product of massive immigration that the changed the cultural climate of the
United States. This is no longer a
Western or Northern European nation with a tradition of democratic
institutions. It has developed a culture
that favors a caurdillo over a popularly elected president responsible to
Congress and the people.
From <https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/frequently-requested-statistics-immigrants-and-immigration-united-states#Numbers>
From <https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/2018-04-16/democracy-dying