Wednesday, February 17, 2016
Kashkari on Bank Break Up
I am pleased with Kashkari's remarks reported in the WSJ, reinforcing my earlier remarks that the big banks need to be broken up.
Friday, February 12, 2016
Bank Problems
I am concerned about declining confidence in the US banking
sector. Recently CNBC and Bloomberg have
been discussing problems at the German bank Deutsche Bank. More disturbing for Americans, declining
stock prices for big American banks indicate a lack of confidence in the whole
industry. Dodd-Frank was supposed to protect us from bank failures, but today
Sen. Elizabeth Warren grilled Fed Chair Janet Yellen at length about problems
with “living wills” for banks that fail.
I am concerned that American banks are still too big to
fail, and that Dodd-Frank has failed to keep them from engaging in risky
activities that could create a global financial catastrophe. Dodd-Frank and the Volker rule have failed to
fill the gap created by President Clinton’s elimination of Glass-Steagall.
I would like to see Glass-Steagall re-enacted. At a minimum we need to make big banks
smaller and rein in their riskier trading activities. I am alarmed to see the stock market
illustrate Wall Street’s lack of confidence in its own big banks like JP
Morgan-Chase and Goldman Sachs.
Related to this is, I believe, is the issue of income
inequality. There has been talk of lack
of liquidity surrounding the current unsettled bank environment. One problem with consolidating all the
nation’s wealth in a few hands is that the few hundred families who control
that wealth may all decide at once to do the same thing, e.g., sell bonds. If they all act at once, there will be no one
to buy bonds, for example. Prices would
plunge, and we would be back in another financial crisis. To some extent this is what happened in the
1929 market crash, when like today, much wealth was held by a few extremely
wealthy people. The aggregation of
wealth means that markets become smaller, controlled by a few people. and more
susceptible to volatility. As markets
become dominated by a few players, the country becomes less capitalistic and
more oligopolistic. This is what
happened to Russia under Yeltsin. I hate
to see America following the Russian model.
Keep the Draft
As one of the last people subject to the draft during the
Vietnam War. I am writing to support the continued existence of the Selective
Service System in case we need a military draft sometime in the future. I actually volunteered after being classified
1-A and passing the physical, rather than wait a month or two to be
drafted.
I am very disappointed that military service has become such
a contemptible, dishonorable profession in the United States. I came home from Vietnam to scorn for being a
veteran. Today, people praise veterans,
but in my opinion, it is usually because the people heaping the praise are not
willing to serve themselves. They think,
“If I tell this fool what a great job he is doing, then I won’t have to do
it.” When it comes to something more
expensive than praise, like giving veterans jobs or health benefits, the
country is less fulsome.
The military likes having an all-volunteer force, but I
think we need people who would not ordinarily serve in the military. We need people from Harvard and Stanford who
look at the world differently from the ordinary pool of recruits, who are
mostly poor and less well educated.
Supreme Court Justice Elena Kagan hated the military so much when she
was dean of the Harvard Law School that she prohibited military recruiting
there. The military needs a diversity of
personalities, perspectives and talents, just like any other large
organization. This lack of intellectual
diversity has hampered the military ever since Vietnam, when despite the draft,
rich, smart, well-educated people generally did not serve. That may be one reason we lost the wars in
Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan. We sent
our trailer-park trash to fight and we got trashy results.
I realize that the proposal by Congressmen Coffman and Polis
to abolish the draft is motivated by the recent call to include women in the
draft. I have no objection to including
women in the draft, but I do oppose the recent decision to include women in all
fighting units of the military, including the Army infantry and the
Marines. I think the problems with rape
and other sex offenses in our universities illustrate the problems of putting
young men and women with raging hormones together in situations where there are
frequent romantic temptations. I was in
the artillery, where living conditions are better than in the infantry, but
everyone slept together in one bunker, used the same latrine, etc. Living conditions are probably manageable in
rear echelon environments, where women could certainly serve, but I think
forcing men and women to live together in combat situations is just asking for
trouble in terms of sexual contact. In
any case, there are certainly military jobs for which America could draft
women.
I believe that the draft would strengthen the military by
bringing in new blood, although the military leadership probably is not
enthusiastic about the challenges to it that would emerge from a better quality
of recruits.
Tuesday, February 09, 2016
World War I Memorial
I was struck by the fact that the announcement of the new Washington
memorial for World War I veterans, and the exposé of high administrative
costs for the Wounded
Warrior Project came out at almost the same time. It’s interesting that the Vietnam War was the
first American war in which veterans were widely reviled and hated, not
counting the Civil War, which was a special case. Other small wars were not widely supported,
perhaps the Mexican War or the Spanish-American War, but there was not
widespread contempt for the men who participated in them. Teddy Roosevelt came out of the Spanish American
War a hero, like John McCain came out a hero of the Vietnam War, unlike most of
his fellow servicemen. Similarly, there
were some heroes of the Mexican-American War, like Zachery Taylor. About the only heroes Vietnam produced were
POWs. General Westmoreland is usually
considered a failure. It was a case
where the common soldiers won almost every battle, but the generals and the
politicians lost the war. So, in order
to honor the common soldiers who died, the nation created a Vietnam Memorial to
offset to some extent the general disrepute in which the soldiers were
held.
For previous wars there was no need to build a memorial,
because those who fought were generally held in high regard. There were many local memorials in small
cities and towns, because everyone knew someone who had served. Soldiers came from ordinary people’s homes,
their relatives, their neighbors. They
often came from good families, and those who returned often went on to take
leadership roles in their communities.
The reverse was true for Vietnam, people from good families refused to
fight, and veterans who returned often found themselves treated like
outcasts. Homeless Vietnam veterans
became a common sight in most cities.
Now, people who grew up in the shadow of the Vietnam era
have little idea what national service is like.
There was a burst of patriotism after 9/11, but it was squandered in a
pointless war in Iraq that had nothing to do with 9/11. After an initial rush to join the military
after 9/11, veterans of Iraq and Afghanistan began to be ignored or
disrespected like their Vietnam predecessors.
Nevertheless, people who don’t want to fight themselves want someone to
fight for them. So, they tell the
veterans how much they love and respect them, when their actual attitude is, “I’m
glad they went so that I didn’t have to.”
They tend to see veterans as people who can’t get a real job and have no
choice but to join the military. We have
an all-volunteer military, but one that does not include many of the country’s
best people.
It’s the people who don’t remember when serving in the
military was a well-respected calling who now want to build memorials. The men who fought in World War I and II did
not think that they needed memorials.
They thought that their service was their memorial, and that their
sacrifices lived in the hearts and minds of their friends and relatives. But that remembrance has died out, and average
people today think World War I and II veterans were as worthless as the
veterans of Vietnam, Iraq or Afghanistan.
Today many people think they have to build memorials so that poor, stupid
people like me will still go off to war when the country wants to fight a
war. It’s all about themselves, not
about the veterans. At least
superficially, it is a better welcome home now than during Vietnam. But is it reasonable that people today care
more about the veterans who fought in World War I than America did 100 years
ago? And is it reasonable that people
today care more about World War II veterans than their loved ones did fifty
years ago? No, if anything, the
memorials are a penance for not caring.
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