Earth has experienced a number of cooling and warming cycles in the last few billion years. According to Wikipedia, there have been at least five major ice ages in Earth’s history, the first starting about three billion years ago. The most severe occurred about 300 million years ago. Earth is currently in an interglacial period, with the last glacial period having ended about 12,000 years ago.
Scientists posit a number of causes for the cycles of heating
and cooling of the Earth, although none seem to be definitive. Over this period continents and seas have
moved. Land has been covered more by
vegetation (darker and heat absorbing) or more by ice (reflecting heat away
from Earth). Many other factors have
played roles. But the main takeaway is
that Earth has heated or cooled due to natural cycles for billions of
years. Certainly, the huge increase of
manmade carbon dioxide will be important to what happens in the next cycle, but
so will natural causes. Earth has not
had a fixed average temperature over its lifetime. Some scientists think that at one time Earth
may have been a “snowball” completely covered in ice.
In an opposite process from ice ages, is the creation of fossil
fuels under what is now desert. Fossil
fuels are remains of dead plants, often found now in places were few plants grow
today. The biggest oil fossil fuel
reserves are in Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United States, and Iran. The largest coal reserves are in the US,
Russia, China, Australia, and India. The
vegetation that became these fossil fuels grew in lush, swampy forests, which
no longer exist in those locations.
Although the issue does not come up often in discussions of
climate change, we are depleting our deposits of fossil fuels very quickly in
relation to the millions of years that it took to create them.
The other non-renewable source of energy is uranium. The World
Nuclear Association estimates that uranium should be available as a fuel
for centuries to come. It is the 51st
most abundant element in the Earth’s crust, about the same as tin. A lot of processing is necessary to turn
uranium into reactor fuel, but a lot of processing is also necessary to turn
petroleum from the ground into usable fuel.
Climate will change.
We have limited control over how it will change. We should certainly devote our efforts to
getting it to change in a good direction.
Mankind can adapt, but we are used to living within a relatively small
temperature range. It would be more
pleasant to continue to live within that same temperature range.
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